Role Playing
Puzzles & Survival

Can anyone break down the probabilities related to Noah coins?

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Can anyone break down the probabilities related to Noah coins? Only one I know is you have a .3 chance of getting a 5 star hero with an advanced coin. What is the chances for a 4 star? 3 star?

What about intermediate and beginner?

 
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AppGamer Answered:

Tap on Noah's Tavern and then tap the '!' icon on the top right. This will show you the percentage probabilities of getting different star hero frags from each type of recruit.

30% = 0.3

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But that is wrong? Out of 111 advanced coins, I pulled one 5* hero. If it was 30% chance each coin, I'd have pulled on average 20-30 with 111 coins. So is that percentage a 30% chance for 1 shard? Or is the game just...bad at math?
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Guest Replied
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It's a probability, some will get more and some less. You just had what is called bad luck
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It is .3% chance, not 30%
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It's a probability, some will get more and some less. You just had what is called bad luck

Do you have any idea how fantastically horrible luck you need to fail a 30% chance 111 times? With the formula being 1 (60%)^5, it would be:

Attempt 01: 30% chance
Attempt 02: 51% chance
Attempt 03: 65.7% chance
...and so on until
Attempt 13: 99.031% chance

As you can see, after just my third coin, I have just under 2 in 3 chance of getting a 5* hero, if this were a 30% chance. It clearly isn't.
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Guest Replied
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hero or hero shard? Big difference

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